Unfortunately, none of the Chesapeake Bay forecasts are very accurate. My best advice, after more than 6 decades on the estuary, take a good look at the tree tops, the cloud movement, then make an educated guess on the side of safety. The bay can be very unforgiving, especially for those who take things for granted, such as the weather forecasts. Keep in mind there are no repercussions for those dispensing bum weather information. And, they never seem to apologize for a lousy forecast.