Originally Posted by JonEisberg
Sorry, I'm not buying that one...
70' yachts getting run down by merchant ships are an extremely rare event... Here we have a boat that has already had its storm canvas destroyed, running off under bare poles before a storm, and you think it is still more plausible that they were sunk after colliding with a ship, rather than foundering due to storm-force conditions they had been battling?
anything's possible, of course, but I just don't see how the odds favor your scenario...
Except for a huge wave which could have rolled or pitchpoled them, any other scenario would have allowed time to activate the EPIRB. Capsizing would have to have been a complete surprise to them in that case because if the general sea conditions were that bad as to make them worry about capsizing, they certainly would have had PFDs on and EPIRB and survival gear at the ready. Something happened that did not allow for the few seconds it takes to grab and switch the EPIRB on. On a boat that size, they likely have had personal locator beacons as well. Even if rolled by a "rogue" wave, this boat would not have gone down immediately, allowing crew to escape from below. Something must have happened that sank her in seconds. No crew was found in PFDs which may suggest they were either not overly concerned about the sea condition or that they were all below and were struck by something, going down immediately. They could have come down on a floating object and split open as well. Coming down on a whale or container could conceivably split open a hull and sink it immediately before anyone could react or get out from below and don a PFD.