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post #89 of Old 11-09-2013
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Re: Rallies Gone Wrong

Originally Posted by capta View Post
There was no luck involved; it was seamanship and discipline that got him and his 23 men through..
I certainly hear where you are coming from. There is a saying something about experienced people make their own luck.

There is a serious risk however because their are lots of kinds of luck.
An experienced person is always stacking the deck in their favor and because of that most of the time they will be "lucky".

The risk is that someone thinks they it all figured out because they are now "experienced".
There are bad luck scenarios that can hit us that even the most prudent person would not have anticipated nor been able to handle. Maybe not many but enough to keep us all humble.

Just surviving the drive to the grocery store has a significant element of luck in it.

The lesson from the Icarus story is not about human failing.
It is a lesson about the limitations of wax as an adhesive.
If you have an engineering problem solve it.
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