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Originally Posted by camaraderie
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Interesting read.
Did you notice he quotes the very article I presented? Yep.
Unfortunately there is an information shortage about Peak Oil. There is too-little good research (Hirsch and his peers are grossly underfunded), and even less reliable information for the public. Neither is a good indicator of our readiness for peak oil.
The faster we prepare, the easier the transition will be to peak oil. Other nations already have strong programs in motion to prepare for peak oil. We are among the world’s laggards. Civilization will continue even if America falters as a result of peak oil, just as it survived the fall of the Spanish Empire. We have the ability to adapt, but so far lack the will and awareness of the need. Over-dramatizations like “life after the crash” are part of the problem, in my opinion, not part of the solution. They are too easily dismissed, and unfortunately the awareness of peak oil often gets dismissed with them. Equally unfortunate, their facile certainty about the future discourages the need for research and modeling about our energy resources and consumption — necessary to efficiently marshal and apply resources for rapid mitigation programs.
I agree with his assesment and totally dissagree that even if we ran out of oil tomorrow, the world would come to an end. We would find a word around, even if it were horses. The question is how bad the effects would be? We can only assume.
But first of all, he is contradicting a book I have not read where I assume the author feels the effects of running out of oil will be akin to nuclear war. He is NOT contradicting my article, in fact, mentions the author. Without reading the book he refers to, I cannot comment with certainty on his opinions. I will say that his stance is that Oil-Peak is a very real problem and the US is not serious about it. He does feel that running out of oil/disruptions will have serious economic effects. He also (and I really loved this) thinks we should be looking hard at other solutions that may not be hydrocarbon based.
Thank you. That is EXACTLY what I am saying. Please talk to Sailaway.
But who is this guy and what is his motive and background? Is he educated in the manner? Is he supplied by Green Peace or Exxon? I take third party assesments with a grain of salt until I know who pays their gas bill.
That is why I have focused on US Gov based information or funding as I feel it is the closest we can come to a truly unbiased opinion. The exception is the article Sway presented that started this topic.
- CD