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Chuck, that seems to be the case: both on port tack with MF overtaking (probably doing three times the speed, actually), and the 40 footer tacking over and severely misjudging either where he would be when crossing her path, or just how soon MF would be in front of him.
Interestingly, in club racing with more or less equally sized boats in the same PHRF class, quite a few skippers can be closing rapidly on different tacks at five or six knots and the one with rights will call "hold your course" and pass just on the stern of the other boat...like reach on and touch them course. They have a finely tuned sense of when two tracks will cross (I'm sure many here have seen this) which allows "stunt helming", but I suspect if the boats are different in hull speed or size, all that goes out the window.