You are right essentially in what you summize about the 1998 Sydney to Hobart. The reality is however that with improved technology, better modelling etc the forecasts ain't always right here...
The solution that did come out of the Sydney to Hobart 1998 forecasting debaucle??
Every forecast we now hear in OZ is preceded by the following warning "PLEASE BE AWARE Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height"
Wow. Gee, thanks guys that really helps me out. What it does do is now legally covers the Bureau of Metereology's ass if they do ever get it as wrong as they did that fateful day.
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Last edited by chall03; 07-17-2009 at 11:52 AM.