Originally Posted by AndreasNYC
Do you think the boat would get blown over in a 30 knot gust? Or just heel some more?
Depends on your boat
I know I wouldn't want to take a 30 knot gust with full sail, but my boat has a very shallow keel (draw just 3' board up) - you draw twice that.
But why not be prudent, put in a reef at the dock, and shake it out later if the weather report is overstated? Better to be there than find out that it's more like 25-30 sustained and gusts at 35+. You never know what it's really like out there, till you're out there!