Join Date: Nov 2009
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Re: Sailing Darwin awards
They can't predict the direction of travel of a hurricane that precisely. Heck, it took them weeks after Katrina to figure out where it actually made landfall (about 40 miles from where it was projected). Betting your life on the accuracy of weather forecasters, who will tell you themselves "we don't kow, this is just the average of the model forecasts" is a pretty poor bet.
And don't forget that next year our ability to predict hurricane paths is going to get substantially worse. Since Congress hasn't funded new satellites, and the ones we are using now are about to fall out of the sky.
Yes, of course you are correct but hurricanes move slowly enough, that if Sandy had suddenly turned south, and given me a different scenario, I still would have had plenty of time to simply walk away, and rent a hotel inland.
It's not a tornado.
1981 Tartan 33 #168