Originally Posted by chrondi
I'm very pleased to see that now attention has shifted towards the moods and strength of the girl. Conventional wisdom has it that a gradual build-up of offshore experience would be preferable and the abrupt change could knock her down. The odds are against her, nevertheless betting on her endurance sounds just cruel!
However, conventional wisdom would have predicted that some sailors, like Tania Aebi, who were thrown into sailing with little previous experience and went essentially bluewater from the start, would have run screaming from the sport or quit it altogether... that doesn't necessarily happen.
If their relationship is strong enough and solid enough, and they both love to sail and love the cruising lifestyle, and the challenges it brings with it—then they will probably do fine.
However, I don't think it is all that realistic to think that they will make it 1000 days without a single landfall. A lot can happen in almost three years to cause need to make landfall. Gear breaks, supplies get contaminated or go bad, people slip and fall...
I do wish the two of them luck... but if I were a betting man, I would say by end of six months, either they'll be doing well and will make it, or they will have had to make landfall for some reason. If she makes it past six months, I think she'll go the distance.
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You know what the first rule of sailing is? ...Love. You can learn all the math in the 'verse, but you take
a boat to the sea you don't love, she'll shake you off just as sure as the turning of the worlds. Love keeps
her going when she oughta fall down, tells you she's hurting 'fore she keens. Makes her a home.
—Cpt. Mal Reynolds, Serenity (edited)
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Still—DON'T READ THAT POST AGAIN.