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post #1 of 5 Old 09-28-2007 Thread Starter
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Tropical Storm Karen

OK... what's everbody's best guess?


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post #2 of 5 Old 09-28-2007
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If it survives the next 48 hours of shear, then it could intensify, is the latest discussion. But even then, unless it takes a drastic hook north, it shouldn't be a problem for you trip. That's my reading of the situation.

John
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post #3 of 5 Old 09-28-2007 Thread Starter
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Goodmorning John! That's what i was hoping to hear. Looks like A LOT of wind for us this weekend. See you when we get back.

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post #4 of 5 Old 09-28-2007
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Have a good and safe weekend ..... and don't get too purist and not use the motor if necessary

John
Ontario 32 - Aria

Free, is the heart, that lives not, in fear.
Full, is the spirit, that thinks not, of falling.
True, is the soul, that hesitates not, to give.
Alive, is the one, that believes, in love.
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post #5 of 5 Old 09-28-2007
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A ridge will build in north of Karen which should steer Karen more to the West over time..The shear is forecast to relax after the next 3 days.The LLC(Low Level Circulation) should remain intact allowing Karen to re-intensify.Weaker systems tend to move more west with the trades and with the high shear Karen will be a weaker system..Karen should survive the shear so heads up Florida then maybe a second strike on the Gulf...time will tell
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