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  #1  
Old 09-28-2007
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Tropical Storm Karen

OK... what's everbody's best guess?

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Old 09-28-2007
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If it survives the next 48 hours of shear, then it could intensify, is the latest discussion. But even then, unless it takes a drastic hook north, it shouldn't be a problem for you trip. That's my reading of the situation.
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Old 09-28-2007
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Goodmorning John! That's what i was hoping to hear. Looks like A LOT of wind for us this weekend. See you when we get back.
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Have a good and safe weekend ..... and don't get too purist and not use the motor if necessary
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Old 09-28-2007
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Insails is on a distinguished road
A ridge will build in north of Karen which should steer Karen more to the West over time..The shear is forecast to relax after the next 3 days.The LLC(Low Level Circulation) should remain intact allowing Karen to re-intensify.Weaker systems tend to move more west with the trades and with the high shear Karen will be a weaker system..Karen should survive the shear so heads up Florida then maybe a second strike on the Gulf...time will tell
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