Slow Start to Hurricane Season (North Atlantic) - Page 2 - SailNet Community
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post #11 of 15 Old 07-18-2009
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Nah...doesn't sound like anything is gonna develope.


NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SAT JUL 18 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NEAR AND EXTENDING A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES
EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE.
WHILE RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE MAY BE LOCALLY HEAVY AT
TIMES...UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CURRENTLY CONDUCIVE FOR
SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS
THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

2. DISORGANIZED SHOWER ACTIVITY CONTINUES IN ASSOCIATION WITH A
TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BE SLOW TO
OCCUR AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

No longer posting. Reach me by PM!
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post #12 of 15 Old 08-17-2009 Thread Starter
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mea culpa

Okay, I go away on vacation for a week or so and they run through the first three letters of the alphabet !!

Sorry about the jinx. As penance, I will state publicly that I have not yet dropped anything of value overboard this season.


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Pacific Seacraft Crealock 31 #62

NEVER CALLS CRUISINGDAD BACK....CAN"T TAKE THE ACCENT
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post #13 of 15 Old 08-17-2009
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Ha Ha

Great timing John!

Brandon
Charleston SC
Starwind 223 & Compac 16
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post #14 of 15 Old 08-17-2009
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The way to predict tropical weather is to watch the weather channel and see where Jim Cantore (AKA HARBINGER OF DOOM) is.
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post #15 of 15 Old 08-17-2009
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That's a fact, They don't send Jim anywhere unless it's gonna get ugly there

Dave
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