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I don't want to jinx us, but has anyone noticed the slow start to the North Atlantic hurricane season?
We are now better than seven weeks into the season and, as far as I've been able to determine, we've only had one relatively short lived Tropical Depression (TD 1):
A bit more active in the Pacific with two TD's out there now but further development not expected. An El Nino is now in place and in general terms that should mean fewer Atlantic and more pacific storms.
Yeah. Mother ocean still controls us. She continues to move in ways that we can not predict, just to prove that she has always been in control and can defy our recently recorded data base and our technological predictions whenever she feels the need. It is good to know that nothing has changed. The sky is not falling. Keep up with the maintenance on the boat and worry about the things we can control.
Nah...doesn't sound like anything is gonna develope.
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SAT JUL 18 2009
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NEAR AND EXTENDING A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES
EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE.
WHILE RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE MAY BE LOCALLY HEAVY AT
TIMES...UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CURRENTLY CONDUCIVE FOR
SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS
THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
2. DISORGANIZED SHOWER ACTIVITY CONTINUES IN ASSOCIATION WITH A
TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BE SLOW TO
OCCUR AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
That's a fact, They don't send Jim anywhere unless it's gonna get ugly there
Dave
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