I am interested in thoughtful responses on what people REALLY think is a practical/realistic/workable approach to again allowing shipping and yachts to transit in the Gulf of Aden/North Indian Ocean???
This is opinion only (obviously!)
I don't think the solution is that quick.
You Americans can put your guns away as that isn't on your Foreign Policy and won't happen.
That third of Somalia is lawless and the long term solution is stabilising a government there. Unfortunately it will be a fundamentalist Islamic government. 'Unfortunate'... thats just our 'view' of a lack of separation of powers.
Until then I think what we are doing is slowly begining to show dividends.
19 captured/killed with the 4 dead Americans is a good outcome purely on the numbers.
Every pirate killed or captured will show them its better to go back to fishing or to surrender when a navy ship approaches. I daresay the US ship offered the pirates a very amiable resettlement in the USA if they had given up. I'm sure thats what was happening when the hostages were shot.
The 'don't pay ransoms' philosophy is the correct one, however its the insurance companies that have been paying out - They don't care how much they pay out, nor how much the premiums go up as they just benefit from the extra profit on the increased premium at their same margin.
As large companies like MSC (who must be Self-Insurers due to their size) start to bring out their own patrol boats, and force Insurance companies to do the same, and assist in their own dilemma it will aid the navy's ability.
One must remember that piracy is NOT a local thing: Its Al Qaeda or similar. Bombing local fishing communities will not help. Its organised crime - not a few dumb-bum fishermen now rich beyond their wildest dreams who inexplicably keep on doing it though richer than all their country-mates.
The only military action that could be useful is small level incursions to rescue hostages/ships. But the loss of hostages lives would be significant. It hasn't been tried yet. Targeted executions have worked in a number of countires by the USA, Russians, Isralies etc
The oxymoron in my statements is that if Al Qaeda is involved to the degree that I think they are then any new government (Of Puntlannd, not the whole of Somalia. Somalia will be disected into 3 parts) there will be pro-pirate. But new governments quickly learn they have to toe the world line.... Though a country
can do without money or aid or government is understandable, but a Government
can't do without money, aid or an economy
So for the next 2 or 3 years yachts should have a look at Captain Cook's routes from Batavia to the Cape of Good Hope.