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08-25-2011
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1968 Pearson Wanderer 30
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Location: Richmond, VA
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Sounds like Irene might be a very bad one...
Just heard Joe Bastardi on the radio saying he thinks Irene is going to be one of the three "greatest" storms ever to hit the mid-Atlantic coast since the 1800s. He said he expects it to tear down lots of trees and powerlines and that he thinks it's going to be a 10 to 15 billion-dollar storm, in terms of damage.
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- Bill T.
- Richmond, VA
"Twenty years from now you will be more disappointed by the things you didn't do, than by the ones you did do. So throw off the bowlines. Sail away from the safe harbor. Catch the trade winds in your sails. Explore. Dream. Discover."
- Mark Twain
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08-25-2011
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Yeah, Needless to say this one has me on full alert.
I just measured the height of the poles at my floating dock..from todays high water mark..to the top of the pole... If we get more than a 5 foot surge...( I factored in an extra foot for spring tides on sunday already) My dock will float off the poles...
So tomorrow is decision day...Stay in...or Haul out...a rock and a hard place..
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Tempest
Sabre 34
Morgan, NJ
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08-25-2011
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Wandering Aimlessly
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As of this point in time, we are at ground zero here in New Bern, NC.
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John
Ontario 32 - Aria
Free, is the heart, that lives not, in fear.
Full, is the spirit, that thinks not, of falling.
True, is the soul, that hesitates not, to give.
Alive, is the one, that believes, in love. JCP
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08-25-2011
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Tempest .... I think haul out might be a better of the two choices if you even THINK the surge will cause your docks to float. Have your boat skewered like a shish-ka-bob is not a pleasant choice. Nor is having your boat join with all the other boats that will surely wind up in a junk heap along some seawall or on a shoreline somwwhere miles away. Have you checked your insurance policy ? They may require and pay for a haul out. Best of luck over the next few days. Stay safe. You can always get another boat
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08-25-2011
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Quirky
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tempest
Yeah, Needless to say this one has me on full alert.
I just measured the height of the poles at my floating dock..from todays high water mark..to the top of the pole... If we get more than a 5 foot surge...( I factored in an extra foot for spring tides on sunday already) My dock will float off the poles...
So tomorrow is decision day...Stay in...or Haul out...a rock and a hard place..
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It's such a big and slow moving storm, sounds like they're expecting a big storm surge.
From here:
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Category 2 landfalls may not sound that significant, since Hurricane Bob of 1991 made landfall over Rhode Island as a Category 2, and did only $1.5 billion in damage (1991 dollars), killing 17. But Irene is a far larger and more dangerous storm than Bob. The latest wind analysis from NOAA/HRD puts Irene's storm surge danger at 4.8 on a scale of 0 to 6, equivalent to a borderline Category 3 or 4 hurricane's storm surge. Bob had a much lower surge potential, due to its smaller size, and the fact it was moving at 32 mph when it hit land. Irene will be moving much slower, near 18 mph, which will give it more time to pile up a big storm surge. The slower motion also means Irene's surge will last longer, and be more likely to be around during high tide. Sunday is a new moon, and tides will be at their highest levels of the month during Sunday night's high tide cycle.
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A ship in harbor is safe, but that's not why ships are built.
My girls:
1974 Alcort Minifish-Minifish
2001 Drascombe Lugger-Penelope
2004 Hunter 260-Miss Muffet
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08-25-2011
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Senior Member
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Join Date: Dec 2010
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tempest
Yeah, Needless to say this one has me on full alert.
I just measured the height of the poles at my floating dock..from todays high water mark..to the top of the pole... If we get more than a 5 foot surge...( I factored in an extra foot for spring tides on sunday already) My dock will float off the poles...
So tomorrow is decision day...Stay in...or Haul out...a rock and a hard place..
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This storm surge prediction site is very informative, I would suggest you have a look...
Storm surge imagery for the U.S. coast : Weather Underground
Your corner of Raritan Bay is pretty vulnerable, water really piles up in there, with nowhere to go...
Best of luck, whatever you decide...
Last edited by JonEisberg; 08-25-2011 at 07:34 PM.
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08-25-2011
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Wandering Aimlessly
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They're forecasting 5-10 feet here, we'll be okay if it doesn't go higher.
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John
Ontario 32 - Aria
Free, is the heart, that lives not, in fear.
Full, is the spirit, that thinks not, of falling.
True, is the soul, that hesitates not, to give.
Alive, is the one, that believes, in love. JCP
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08-25-2011
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JonEisberg
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Jon et al ...Thanks for the input...very helpful!
That storm surge site is officially scaring the bejesus out of me...
That 5 ft cushion seems woefully inadequate at this point. I think I'm convinced that I'll have to haul out.
Boat US will pay Half the cost of a haul..which was never really a factor in my decision..but every bit helps..
Good luck to everyone..this will be a nail biter!
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Tempest
Sabre 34
Morgan, NJ
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08-25-2011
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1968 Pearson Wanderer 30
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My boat already is on the hard. She has been since January, while I've been doing a whole mess of work on her.
The ironic thing is I was really hoping to have her back in the water by now - or by the end of August at least. And now it turns out to be a good thing that I haven't actually finished the work yet...
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- Bill T.
- Richmond, VA
"Twenty years from now you will be more disappointed by the things you didn't do, than by the ones you did do. So throw off the bowlines. Sail away from the safe harbor. Catch the trade winds in your sails. Explore. Dream. Discover."
- Mark Twain
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08-25-2011
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the pointy end is the bow
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PBzeer
As of this point in time, we are at ground zero here in New Bern, NC.
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what are you going to be doing with your boat John?
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Ray
S.V. Nikko
1983 Fraser 41
La Conner, WA
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Boating for over 25 years, some of them successfully.
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