Good points. On the other hand, though you might "NEVER do" A-or-B (i.e. - repeat a specific mistake), you, and/or any other seasoned sailor, will most likely do something, or miss something at some point that puts you and/or your boat in somewhat similar peril. You have to look no further than incidents such as the recent Farallones tragedy, Skip Allan's rescue, or the many other very seasoned sailors who have run into trouble.
I think that's really the main point here. While A-S'rs are scoffing at all those things "they'd never do", there's still a very long list of things that can take them down...things they're simply overlooking, or worse, dismissing as impossibilities.
Hubris don't float. And it's a major buzzkill at parties.
Well, no way am I gonna revisit this entire thread, but I've taken some time to review a considerable portion of it... Sorry, but I'm just not seeing any real chest beating from anyone of the "I'd never do THAT
variety... Rather, most of the criticism is more in the form of the "well, this is another example of why the value of a shakedown cruise in advance of such a passage cannot be overstated..." variety...
I was critical of his failure to sort out his windvane prior to departure, for example... Well, I've done many, far dumber things than that in the past, some of them even more than once... but, I'm just not seeing where simply pointing out such errors or oversights necessarily falls into the category of second-guessing, or Monday morning quarterbacking...
In addition, I think the distinction should be made between judgements made, and "occurrences"... It's one thing to claim, for example, "I would NEVER
cruise a place like Labrador without paper charts..." Not everyone might agree, but that's simply the way I roll... But if I were to say "I've learned my lesson, have configured a bulletproof preventer setup, and will NEVER
again suffer an accidental jibe...", well... then that
would be an Armchair Sailor talking, one with precious little respect for the infinite variety of surprises the sea might have in store for you...