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  #21  
Old 03-14-2012
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Re: Big Wind!!!

Quote:
Originally Posted by Minnewaska View Post
I am a little confused. The OP said 20-30. Others have said more, but I can't tell if they know more or it's just creeping.

If the game is 30-40, now even 45, the game should be postponed.
I've looked at a couple of weather sites with predictions for winds and waves for the 17th along the Southern California coast and I haven't found anything even close to 20-30 knots. Where are these 20-45 knot predictions coming from?

Curtis
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  #22  
Old 03-14-2012
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Re: Big Wind!!!

Thanks guys for the advice....it LOOKS like its going to be a big storm. Just picked the wrong day to go! Here are the forecasts I saw for the days on Accuweather...On saturday its winds at 24 mph with gusts up to 41. Saturday night its winds at 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. Sunday is about the same, but gusts up to 51 mph...I am not a risk taker and I am probably going to do some sailing...maybe even just in the harbor...but I doubt that Catalina is still in the cards for this weekend...I went over on the Flyer last weekend and it was near perfect over there...



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  #23  
Old 03-14-2012
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Re: Big Wind!!!

Even 40 in the Harbor will be a handfull. Deep reefs and things stowed well aboard will be the call for the day. Gusts like that tear at a boat. Have fun and be safe.

Dave
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  #24  
Old 03-14-2012
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Re: Big Wind!!!

Got it now. Seems to have deteriorated from the OP. Launching into heavy winds is different from launching into a storm, even with the same winds. In a storm, visibility will reduce, seas often get more confused as winds shift, stress is much higher as you get soaked. Not the way to first take on heavy weather. Glad to hear you are postponing. You'll get there. Very cool goal.

Keep in mind that the impact of wind is exponential. The difference going from 25 to 30 is very notably more than 20 to 25 and so on. There is math on this, but I don't have it handy. Also, if slugging into it, you will create even more apparent wind.
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  #25  
Old 03-14-2012
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Re: Big Wind!!!

I checked Sailflow and weatherunderground. Both indicate winds of 10-20 kts. The local weather forcasters say 30 mph with higher gusts. You can continue to plan for the trip assuming that Sailflow and others are correct but don't assume you are going until saturday morning. 30 kts of wind in the channel is no piece of cake. When in doubt, don't go. This is a pleasure trip not something you have do.

Take care.
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  #26  
Old 03-14-2012
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Re: Big Wind!!!

Howzit NN,
I agree with most of the others. Go for a day run in the predicted conditions and feel it out for future sails. Your boat will handle and you'll learn a lot from the experience. I have a boat partner and we can only sail together on 2 weekends per month. So, we go out when most boats stay in. This past Sunday (coastal)in gusty winds from 15-35+ and it turned out fun. We reefed and used a handkerchief for a jib. (Hawaii had some heavy weather this last week.) If it blows to over 40 stay in and do some maintenace. Keep us posted on what happens. Catalina will be there next week....I hope. HAHA. Have fun out there. GOOD LUCK.
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  #27  
Old 03-14-2012
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Re: Big Wind!!!

I'm not sure where you usually get your weather but you posted something from AccuWeather. There are lots of better places that will give you a marine forecast. You may want to try NOAA's National Weather Service it will give you a lot more information and include wave heights and period.
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  #28  
Old 03-14-2012
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Re: Big Wind!!!

Quote:
Originally Posted by jetdrvr393 View Post
I'm not sure where you usually get your weather but you posted something from AccuWeather. There are lots of better places that will give you a marine forecast. You may want to try NOAA's National Weather Service it will give you a lot more information and include wave heights and period.
Newport - this is actually a great point. Look at the weather resources the other sailors are using in this thread. Way better stuff out there (windguru, sailflow, NOAA, weatherunderground, passageweather, etc.)
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  #29  
Old 03-15-2012
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Re: Big Wind!!!

Sweet! Thx guys! I bought my Offshore Foul Weather Gear today! I also did a bit of a sail which was NICE. Blowing about 15-20 I guess and waves about 3 feet. Kinda fun actually to get the boat heeled WAY over...I know it may not be as fast...but fun!
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Old 03-15-2012
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Re: Big Wind!!!

Newport,


Glad you could go out today, good practice. If you want to take a trip this weekend with the prior owner, try a jaunt down to Dana Point. It is only a 15 miles. Spend the night, if weather is too bad to sail,back, call the wives - eat brunch in Dana Point and drive home. get the boat when weather and sea state is safe.


Use sailflow.com for wind forecast. Accuweather is useless.
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