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  #1  
Old 03-14-2013
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How Would You Like to Be Offshore With This Forecast?

Here is the NOAA forecast for the Coastal Mid-Atlantic today:

.SYNOPSIS FOR MID ATLC WATERS...A SERIES OF LOW PRES TROUGHS
WILL PASS SE ACROSS THE WATERS TODAY INTO TONIGHT. LOW PRES WILL
DEVELOP NE OF THE WATERS TONIGHT...THEN ACCELERATE OFF TO THE NE
FRI INTO FRI NIGHT. A WEAKENING HIGH PRES RIDGE WILL MOVE
OFFSHORE FRI. DEVELOPING LOW PRES WILL RACE E ACROSS THE CENTRAL
WATERS LATE SAT INTO SAT NIGHT WHILE PULLING A COLD FRONT INTO
THE SRN WATERS. THE FRONT WILL BECOME STATIONARY SUN AS HIGH
PRES BUILDS IN FROM THE N...THEN LIFT BACK N ACROSS THE WATERS
AS A WARM FRONT MON.
$$



SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.



ANZ085-141500-
BALTIMORE CANYON TO HATTERAS CANYON OUT TO 36N 70W TO 34N 71W
500 AM EDT THU MAR 14 2013

GALE WARNING


TODAY
W TO NW WINDS 15 TO 25 KT INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 KT...
EXCEPT OVER NE PORTION TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT...EXCEPT E OF
1000 FM BUILDING TO 9 TO 13 FT...HIGHEST NE. ISOLATED SHOWERS
OVER E PORTION ENDING.
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Old 03-14-2013
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Re: How Would You Like to Be Offshore With This Forecast?

The synoptics look even worse.

Current Atlantic synoptics (note these autoupdate with the latest wx product).
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Old 03-14-2013
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Re: How Would You Like to Be Offshore With This Forecast?

Those are tightly spaced pressure gradients in front of that low to the N.E!
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Old 03-14-2013
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Re: How Would You Like to Be Offshore With This Forecast?

No Gilligan, I don't see a problem!
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Old 03-14-2013
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Re: How Would You Like to Be Offshore With This Forecast?

I will be flying over it tomorrow on my way to the BVIs.
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Old 03-14-2013
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Re: How Would You Like to Be Offshore With This Forecast?

Nope, I wouldn't choose weather like that for a passage, but I would hope most sailors at least have a plan to handle wind up to 35kts and 6-9ft seas.
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Re: How Would You Like to Be Offshore With This Forecast?

Here is my plan:

1. Hank on storm jib;
2. Put on foul weather gear, PFD, and harness;
3. Secure hatches and companionway boards; and
4. Prepare to suffer for 96 hrs...
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Old 03-14-2013
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Re: How Would You Like to Be Offshore With This Forecast?

Quote:
Originally Posted by jameswilson29 View Post
Here is my plan:

1. Hank on storm jib;
2. Put on foul weather gear, PFD, and harness;
3. Secure hatches and companionway boards; and
4. Prepare to suffer for 96 hrs...
My plan is similar, except for the addition of:

5. Fetal position on the cockpit sole.
eherlihy and smurphny like this.
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Old 03-14-2013
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Re: How Would You Like to Be Offshore With This Forecast?

I have been in those conditions, fortunately going downwind. We had 12 foot seas. Hand steering and broad reaching is a heck of lot of work.

On a passage I generally have a storm jib hanked on when I leave the dock. The pfd's and harneses are always worn, the hatchs are always closed. I almost always wear foulies when offshore, even if it just my pants; I hate a wet bum.

I have some more extensive notes on heavy weather prep if anyone is interested.

If I had a choice I would not go out. I have turned back from a trip around Vancouver Island when when the winds were 55 gusting 70, with 6-8 meter seas all on the nose. Even coming down the inside we had to wait in Alert Bay for a day and half when the winds were 50 on the nose.
Faster and downeast450 like this.
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Re: How Would You Like to Be Offshore With This Forecast?

Quote:
Originally Posted by jameswilson29 View Post
Here is my plan:

1. Hank on storm jib;
2. Put on foul weather gear, PFD, and harness;
3. Secure hatches and companionway boards; and
4. Prepare to suffer for 96 hrs...
See jackdale's response.

Quote:
Originally Posted by jackdale View Post
On a passage I generally have a storm jib hanked on when I leave the dock. The pfd's and harneses are always worn, the hatchs are always closed. I almost always wear foulies when offshore, even if it just my pants; I hate a wet bum.
Bingo.

If the storm jib isn't hanked on when you leave the dock it likely won't be used. Who is really going to haul that heavy thing across a wet and heaving deck when conditions deteriorate? Remember to run the sheets also. You shouldn't have to do anything except pull the bag and hoist the halyard.

Hatches and lights are dogged for the duration of offshore passage for me. Keep the water out of the boat.

Have to keep the crew hydrated and fed as well as possible. You better have someone that can wedge in and pump food out of the galley.

I wouldn't launch into those conditions on purpose but on a long passage the chances are you'll run into nasty weather at least once. Of course you'll spend much more time wishing for more wind.
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