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  #1 (permalink)  
Old 02-19-2007
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Global Warming Debate

edited by CAM...this thread has been moved to "Off topic" for Global warming discussion.
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  #2 (permalink)  
Old 03-08-2007
Sailormann Sailormann is offline
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Edited for relevancy......Hence - the smile is due to two things we really can't do much about....the weather and the Americans

Always happy to help !
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Old 03-08-2007
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But you canucks (note fond usage of term! ) kept telling us we CAN change the weather and to sign the Kyoto accord! Glad to see you've come around on that one!!
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Old 03-08-2007
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The sky has been falling on Man since at least the moment he learned how to write.

Consider:

When the Transcontinental Railroad was nearing completion, doctors -- doctors!!! -- were testifying to Congress that the human thorax would implode if ever accelerated to speeds over 50-60mph.

As usual, the Doom-n-Gloom gang have nothing substantial backing their "concerns" Re Global Warming(Note the speed with which Greenhouse went from a hypothesis to a cause, skipping the crucial step of providing a CAUSAL explanation.)

I'm told by a historian of philosophy who was active during the end of the Vietnam War that anyone monitoring the "journals" of the New Left could see this movement's reason-hating "intellectuals" debating whether or not their next issue should/could be Environmentalism.

-- But who's going to believe this nonsense?

-- They'll fear it!

Until I see a causal explanation for an evidentiary trend that takes the planet's entire geological history into account, I attribute this latest version of the falling sky to the disaster that is the West's intellectual class.
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Old 03-10-2007
Sailormann Sailormann is offline
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Until I see a causal explanation for an evidentiary trend that takes the planet's entire geological history into account, I attribute this latest version of the falling sky to the disaster that is the West's intellectual class.

Well Rags (if I may be so familiar), I don't think that anyone is going to sit you down at Starbucks and give you the personalised dog and pony show, but the evidence is there if you want to read it. It takes a bit of effort, but even discounting the more extreme fear-mongering, there's no debating that something is going on. We really notice it up here.

And Cam - as far as Kyoto goes, there was a law passed a few weeks ago here, that basically binds the government to meeet the targets...as impossible as that is. A grandstanding gesture to be sure, but it's (Global Warming) the primary voter concern in this country.

For me, it's one of those conscience things. I'll be long gone before there are palm trees in Toronto, but I feel like I have a duty to do my small part. I'm not suggesting we should try to start a compost heap on the boat or anything, but I think seriously about getting one of them there newfangled hybrid cars...had a hybrid dog once and it worked out real well ...
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Old 03-10-2007
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Edited..... Though a good tangent for all to consider, not just sailors who save energy by moving about using petroleum based hulls and sails ;-)

That said, whether one agrees with the issue of global warming and its roots in our society or not, a decrease in the production of 'greenhouse' gases is not a bad thing. Cleaner air, more efficient energy, less focus on fuel supply, etc. Even to a complete naysayer to science, the benefits are not all that bad.

An interesting note: A study recently published in Science (or was it nature?) did a review of ALL scientific papers that focusing on global warming published in the last 10 (#?) years and newspaper articles focusing on the same (big names like NYT, WP, etc.). They took a random sample of 1000 reserach papers and found that ALL supported the hypotesis that global warming is caused by the release of 'greenhouse' gases. Then they took a random sample of newspeper articles and found that nearly half presented the idea that global warming may not be caused by human actions. And I wonder which papers have a larger readership?

The weather is changing. Why? Many reasons, but it IS changing.

So go buy a boat, make it a yacht and sail to where the weather suits you :-)
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Old 03-10-2007
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And if you have a boat...the increasing water depth just means you have more places you can sail...
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If you're new to the Sailnet Forums... please read this POST.
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Old 03-13-2007
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sailormann
Until I see a causal explanation for an evidentiary trend that takes the planet's entire geological history into account, I attribute this latest version of the falling sky to the disaster that is the West's intellectual class.

Well Rags (if I may be so familiar), .
Rags is fine, SailorMa.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sailormann
I don't think that anyone is going to sit you down at Starbucks and give you the personalised dog and pony show
Funny, I didn't ask for such treatment -- cute straw man.

In any case, I'd settle for a thorough presentation at an official conference, with verifiable data, repeatable experiments, and a context that takes the entire history of the planet's climate into account.

In addition:

Dog and pony, indeed.

You can add:

-- Smoke-n-mirrors

-- Say-what-is-necessary-to-assure-gov-funding

-- Say-what-is-necessary-to-assure-industrialists-fear-you, and supprot your next campaign/cause/crusade/nonprofit account.

-- The indirect threat in Congress to actually retaliate against Exxon and others for challenging this Platonic hypothesis.

--100 years of looking for models and correlations, not causal explanations

-- The total collapse of epistemology in Western universities.

--That the sciences, like all fields of human endevor, are prone to fashions and fads.

--The censorship and exile of so many scientists who refute or challenge this unfounded hypothesis.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sailormann
[but the evidence is there if you want to read it. It takes a bit of effort, but even discounting the more extreme fear-mongering, there's no debating that something is going on. We really notice it up here.
I contend that before you can claim that the evidence is there for anything, you have to set the proper context for what it is you are collecting evidence for. This has yet to be done with either Environmentalism or the Greenhouse hypothesis.

At some point, this becomes telling.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sailormann
It takes a bit of effort, but
It takes a spine snapping amount of effort for me to accept the unsubstantiated.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sailormann
there's no debating that something is going on.
I disagree with this statement. ther most certainly is a ton of valid objections to this hypothesis.

I suspect that there is warming. I disagree with the idea that this flux, we're talking .75F, right?, is outside normal fluctuation.

I also disagree with the incredible assertion that the problem is man-made, and that curtailing so called Greenhouse emissions can do anything about it. You'd think that we have no evidence of incredible climactic shifts pre-Industrialization, or that we don't know that the avergae volcanicexplosion of note releases more so-called GH gasses than man has from the days of heating up caves with fire, to the present day.

(CO2 is measured in parts per million -- ~350ppms is the current quote. No fluid mixture's thermodynamics has ever been shown to take note of such a small quantity, no matter the tiny quantity's thermal properties.)

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sailormann
We really notice it up here.
No one in their right mind would care what anyone anywhere is noticing. What matters is what one can prove, and the context in which one's proven points live.

Your claim -- that you're noticing it up there -- is, well, typical of the fallacy at hand. This is the sort of subjectivism that's been infecting the West since Kant tried to kill off the Enlightenment with his slow but lethal potion.

Allow me to suggest that you study the history of philosophy, then see if this latest disaster-is-a-comin is anything new.

Then ask yourself why this hypothesis has been accepted without a causal explanation, and why it's being propagated by a very specific mentality.

Three of the books on my Global Warming list:

1)

To understand the horrors being waged against opponents of Global Warming in academia/intellectual circles:

Meltdown by Patrick Michaels

2)

For a more sane climate theory (fought tooth and nail, of course, but with not a single challenge to the theory itself):

The Chilling Stars: A New Theory of Climate Change by Henrik Svensmark and Nigel Calder

3)

A fact-packed hypothesis that attempts to show that the planet has been repeating a 1500-year climate cycle for 40, 000 years:

Unstoppable Global Warming--Every 1500 Years (Too tired to get the authors' names.)

I have tons of articles whose thrust is simply side-stepped by those caught in the Global Warming orgy, the authors/originators having to pay a huge price for their perfectly reasonable objections and counter-hypothesis-- all in the name of a causeless assertion, raised to a religion by a mentality with a history of envy, hatred of the exceptional, mysiticsm, subjectivism, and a need to "lead."

Last:

He had an incredible mystical streak in him, but one of Newton's profound contributions was to assert that civilized men do not entertain the arbitrary. (This is an explicit phrasing of an implicit characterisitc of Ancient Greece.)

I suggest that we do just that.

Ragnar
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  #9 (permalink)  
Old 03-13-2007
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To All,

Please forgive the SP errors in the above. It's 2:20AM, and I had a rough Monday.

Ragnar
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Old 03-13-2007
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OK...thread moved. Have at it. We've got a lot of Global Warming stuff in various threads all over the place. Anyone that wants to copy a prior post of theirs and move it over is welcome to do so.
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