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03-27-2007
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I like Thompson. He's read the Founding Documents!
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03-27-2007
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Wandering Aimlessly
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Well, it appears Hillarity is finally getting a bounce in the polls. According to the latest Harris Survey, she has risen from 47% to 50% of people who will NOT vote for her.
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John
Ontario 32 - Aria
Free, is the heart, that lives not, in fear.
Full, is the spirit, that thinks not, of falling.
True, is the soul, that hesitates not, to give.
Alive, is the one, that believes, in love. JCP
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03-27-2007
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It can happen...
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03-27-2007
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from their website
With pure probability samples, with 100 percent response rates, it is possible to calculate the probability that the sampling error (but not other sources of error) is not greater than some number. With a pure probability sample of 2,747 adults one could say with a 95 percent probability that the overall results have a sampling error of +/-2 percentage points. However that does not take other sources of error into account. This online survey is not based on a probability sample and therefore no theoretical sampling error can be calculated.
50% means pretty much nothing without the error interval posted. depending on the survey statistics the difference between a measurement of 47% and 50% is negleable. just remember the % is an average based on the survey of a small selection out of a large population, as such the result from the small subset is invariable incorrect.(but become more accurate as you increase your test set)
they indicate a variance of 2 and a 95% accuracy. they dont prove their 95% accuracy and given the sampling size that's questionable at best even.also they perform an online survey. which means their subset is likely not to be a true crosssection from american society, and as such is the margin of error larger even.
note i dont question the validity of 50%, which i am sure they have measured. however based on their test there is no proof to claim the difference in measurements as a significant bounce, because the chance of it actually being better then before is just as likely as it being worse.
Last edited by rexy : 03-27-2007 at 02:43 PM.
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03-27-2007
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MarineSurveyor
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uhh, was that 267 words just to say...
"Nyeh, could be more, could be less"
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We are not primarily on earth to see through one another, but to see one another through
Some people are like slinkies: not really good for anything... but you can't help laughing when you push them down the stairs
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03-27-2007
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"Hillarity is finally getting a bounce"
Well, if her day job doesn't work out, now that Anna Nicole Smith is dead there's a job vacancy for "Most Meaningless Drugged Out News Personality" that Hillary could safely run for. Of course, she'd have to take LOTS of drugs, but that probably would help keep Bill happy too.
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03-27-2007
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Wandering Aimlessly
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Errrmmmm, rexy? My post is commonly called sarcasm. Doesn't always translate to the written word as well as vocally.
__________________
John
Ontario 32 - Aria
Free, is the heart, that lives not, in fear.
Full, is the spirit, that thinks not, of falling.
True, is the soul, that hesitates not, to give.
Alive, is the one, that believes, in love. JCP
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03-27-2007
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Junior Member
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by cardiacpaul
uhh, was that 267 words just to say...
"Nyeh, could be more, could be less"
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that's what statistics is all about  , and PBzeer i didnt notice, but then again i'm not american so i dont get all the hillary jokes :P |
03-27-2007
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Senior Member
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by rexy
i dont get all the hillary jokes :P
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It's better for you this way -- some things are so funny they go back to being scary. |
03-28-2007
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gadfly
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The ironic matter of Ms Rodham centers not around the fact that her positions are so left wing but, rather, that one has the more than vague feeling that her positions could change at any moment, just to suit a cat's paw of wind. Her "evolving" positions are of little concern to those other than resident's of the Empire state, until January 20th of 2009. If one were to turn on the TV on that date, and find her standing outside with her hand on a Bible, neither atheist nor believer can presume to be safe from her whims.
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Liberalism: the haunting fear that, somewhere, somehow, someone can help themselves.
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