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Originally Posted by smackdaddy
Bent, sorry dude, you're looking back, not at the present or future. Sure Apple had its serious bumps in the road, and sure Microsoft lent a helping hand but that was years ago. And here's what Jobs did with it (2011 market value):
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See, you are focusing purely on the companies Microsoft & Apple, after it's bail-outs and only in recent years. I asked you to compare the net worth of Gates & Jobs, not MSFT & AAPL. Go on, do that - then come back to me about which one is more brilliant on the investment angle
And, if Jobs was the brilliance that kept the company going, why hasn't their stock tanked completely (it went down, as they all do when a decent CEO quits, but it hasn't "tanked")? Perhaps because the market realises that while a good man, Jobs isn't
"the most brilliant man of the 21st century - bar none"?
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Sure, Apple's all about brilliant marketing. But that alone doesn't create astronomical value like you see above above. It's the design and appeal of the products and the brilliant use of technology-as-fashion that makes people want to throw money at Apple regardless of the smaller flaws and inconveniences.
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Oh yes, there is good design and appeal... but that has been shared with others. Apple didn't invent the touch-screen phone, they didn't invent the electronic MP3 player, and they didn't invent the laptop. They simply made them stylish and a status symbol.
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So, I don't know how you define "revolutionary" (which iPod/iPhone/iTunes absolutely were/are). Maybe you think it's someone more like Torvalds? Look, invention is only step one. Marketization is what counts. Just ask Dean Kamen.
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Marketization is what counts in becoming rich, which I never argued Jobs was not. It is not crucial in being counted
"the most brilliant man of the 21st century - bar none". I might not agree with, but would have let slide
"the most brilliant salesman of the 21st century", but being able to sell stuff does not make you brilliant. I've dealt with my fair share of good, but dim, salespeople in my time
And for what it is worth, I disagree with the assessment of iPod/iPhone/iTunes being revolutionary. All of them had been done before (handheld MP3 players, touch-screen phones, music sold online). The difference between them and their competition was marketing and third-party deals. Some of the deals were resisted by your man of brilliance, as he didn't want to give up control (Jobs is a renown control freak). If he maintained the level of control he wanted over iPhone development, for example, it would have died as others built up the requisite third-party support that keep it alive. He released the SDK after it was made clear to him, by the company, that his desired level of control was going to tank the product.
Another interesting way to look at it, if Apple completely pulled out of the market tomorrow - would someone be able to step in? I would say yes. There would be upset people and some nasty feelings all round, but the world would buy their next touch-screen phone from a competitor, burn their iTunes collection to CD, and move on.
If Microsoft were to pull out of the market tomorrow, it would require companies (& governments) to completely reimplement their IT infrastructures. Microsoft is so central to the operations of most large companies, they cannot afford to leave them. Microsoft makes money from every CPU sold in most computer manufacturers, even if their software is never used.
Which comes across as a more brilliant sales technique, requiring something new to wow the masses every year or just existing because companies cannot afford to get rid of you?
Note, I don't like Microsoft's methods but you seem to equate brilliance in sales with the CEO's brilliance. I am simply pointing out that Job's "brilliance" requires alot more hard work than Gates'... and I'm a fan of lazy
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Personally, I define "revolutionary" as creating/supplying something that not only becomes huge business, but changes the core of global culture along with it. This is Apple.
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Again, assuming you are correct, it is Apple. It is not Jobs. It is also "revolutionary", but not "brilliant". And as I've noted, some of that success was against the man's personal desires.
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I stand by my assessment. And the numbers back me up.
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I stand by mine and the numbers back me up. Gates is worth far more than Jobs, so your angle regarding investment still only stacks up Microsoft vs Apple - not Gates vs Jobs
And I'm done now. I got over the whole Microsoft vs Apple thing years ago. They are both interesting companies, once led by men of vision and salesmanship, but neither of them are the most brilliant companies or men of the 21st century. If you're not convinced by now, I'm going to deal with it the way I do most Mac/Linux/Windows fanboys - just nod and back away slowly