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  #611 (permalink)  
Old 01-24-2008
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Here's an interesting take on the race so far. For those of a conservative bent, it's interesting to see who's actually leading the race for the GOP. The usual suspects are showing entirely too much glee at the goings on in the GOP race. According to the conventional wisdom of the mainstream punditry the GOP's base is fractured worse than Humpty Dumpty. That they claim that Rush Limbaugh is irrelevant and cannot rally the conservative troops is indicative of the strength of their argument. News flash: Romney's ahead. More on the point here: http://www.spectator.org/dsp_article.asp?art_id=12622
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Old 01-24-2008
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sailaway21 View Post
Here's an interesting take on the race so far. For those of a conservative bent, it's interesting to see who's actually leading the race for the GOP. The usual suspects are showing entirely too much glee at the goings on in the GOP race. According to the conventional wisdom of the mainstream punditry the GOP's base is fractured worse than Humpty Dumpty. That they claim that Rush Limbaugh is irrelevant and cannot rally the conservative troops is indicative of the strength of their argument. News flash: Romney's ahead. More on the point here: http://www.spectator.org/dsp_article.asp?art_id=12622
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  #613 (permalink)  
Old 01-24-2008
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Sway...in addition, if you subscribe to the 3 legged stool theory of conservatism (economics, religious,military)...you have to also consider that with a big primary field, the conservative block was split among several candidates. Now that Fred is OUT and Huck is dropping like a stone...a disproportionate # of their supporters will find their way to the last conservative left in the race....Romney. In all the CLOSED republican primaries coming up in FL and ond Super tuesday...the independents will not have a voice and it is the MODERATE republicans whose votes will be split between Gulie and McCain. I think the Romney express is about to leave the station.
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  #614 (permalink)  
Old 01-24-2008
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Presidential elections are not won by regular party voters. They're won by crossover voters. Most people vote for the candidate that is nominated by their own party. About 48-49% of the voters vote rather consistently for the conservative candidate, and about the same percentage vote for the liberal candidate. The remaining 3-4% can be persuaded to cross over and vote for the other party's candidate. If a candidate has a special appeal to crossover voters, he has a huge advantage, because each crossover vote that he can persuade to vote for him, in effect, counts as two votes, because the candidate not only gains one vote for himself, but he also takes away one vote from his opponent, that his opponent would otherwise have received.

That's why the liberals are so afraid of Mitt Romney. Of all the prospective candidates on both sides, Governor Romney has, by far, more hands-on experience successfully managing businesses than any of the other prospective candidates of either party. He successfully started and managed private businesses, and was hired to save failing businesses, which he also did successfully. He was made CEO of the 2002 Olympics in Salt Lake City, when it was already facing a major budget shortfall, and was scandalized by allegations of bribery. This was shortly after 9/11, when there was a significant concern about terrorism during the games. He found private donors to pay for the enormous additional security costs, he cleaned up the scandal, and the games went forward and showed a $100 million profit. There's much more, of course, but suffice it to say that Governor Romney is the genuine article - a quality candidate, and he's exactly the kind of candidate who will appeal to a potential crossover voter who is dissatisfied with the nominee of his own party. Unfortunately for the Democrats, all their candidates are burdened with negatives of one sort or another.

That's why liberals will raise every issue they can to diminish Governor Romney's support among conservatives. They want to either persuade us to cross over and vote for their nominee, or to at least stay home and not vote. Their tactics, by the way, will reveal what they really think about conservatives. They think we're all Bible thumping bigots and narrow-minded ideologues, and stupid, of course. The liberal media has already talked itself blue in the face about his Mormon religion, not because there's anything wrong with him following his faith, but because they think we're all so bigoted that they can appeal to our baser instincts, to vote against him simply because he's a Mormon. They'll make a major issue of his change in his thinking about abortion, because they think we're so narrow minded that we'll refuse to accept a candidate who has a change of mind. (I don't know about the rest of you, but I was pro-choice many years ago, but have changed my thinking through the years, and I don't fault him for doing so, as long as he's on the right side of the issue now, and I don't have any reason to believe that his position is not a matter of conscience.)

I don't want anyone to think that I've made up my mind yet, because the whole purpose of the primary elections is to allow the candidates a chance to win us over, but I'd sure hate to see us be "played" by the opposition, or to see them succeed in their effort to appeal to our baser instincts. They're certainly going to test us.
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The best answer to, "You've changed your mind!", is, "Yes, does that mean I should not have changed my position?".
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Now here's an article of interest to un-reconstructed Fred-heads. All may not be lost or, hope springs eternal. Probably wishful thinking, but then, I always thought Fred would play better in the general election anyway. Enjoy!
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/art...ddys_dead.html
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Old 01-25-2008
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It's been around a couple of times but this still makes me laugh:

Humans originally existed as members of small bands of nomadic hunters/gatherers. They lived on deer in the mountains during the summer and would go to the coast and live on fish and lobster in the winter.

The two most important events in all of history were:

1. The invention of beer, and
2. The invention of the wheel.

The wheel was invented to get man to the beer, and the beer to the man.

These facts formed the foundation of modern civilization and together were the catalyst for the splitting of humanity into two distinct subgroups:

1. Liberals
2. Conservatives.

Once beer was discovered, it required grain and that was the beginning of agriculture. Neither the glass bottle nor aluminum can were invented yet, so while our early humans were sitting around waiting for them to be invented, they just stayed close to the brewery. That's how villages were formed.

Some men spent their days tracking and killing animals to BBQ at night while they were drinking beer. This was the beginning of what is known as the Conservative movement.

Other men who were weaker and less skilled at hunting learned to live off the conservatives by showing up for the nightly BBQ's and doing the sewing, fetching, and hair dressing. This was the beginning of the Liberal movement.

Some of these liberal men eventually evolved into women. The rest became known as girlie-men.

Some noteworthy liberal achievements include the domestication of cats, the invention of group therapy and group hugs, the evolution of the Hollywood actor, and the concept of Democratic voting to decide how to divide all the meat and beer that conservatives provided.

Over the years, Conservatives came to be symbolized by the largest, most powerful land animal on earth, the elephant. Liberals are symbolized by the jackass.

Modern liberals like imported beer (with lime added), but most prefer white wine or imported bottled water. They eat raw fish but like their beef well done. Sushi, tofu, and French food are standard liberal fare. Another interesting evolutionary side note: most of liberal women have higher testosterone levels than their men. Most social workers, personal injury attorneys, journalists, dreamers in Hollywood and group therapists are liberals. Liberals invented the designated hitter rule because it wasn't fair to make the pitcher also bat.

Conservatives drink domestic beer. They eat red meat and still provide for their women. Conservatives are big-game hunters, rodeo cowboys, firemen, lumberjacks, construction workers, medical doctors, police officers, corporate executives, athletes, Marines, and generally anyone who works productively.
Conservatives who own companies hire other conservatives who want to
work for a living.

Liberals produce little or nothing. They like to govern the producers and decide what to do with the production. Liberals believe Europeans are more enlightened than Americans. That is why most of the liberals remained in Europe when conservatives were coming to America They crept in after the Wild West was tamed and created a business of trying to get more for nothing.

Here ends today's lesson in world history. It should be noted that a liberal may have a momentary urge to angrily respond to the above before forwarding it. A conservative will simply laugh and be so convinced of the absolute truth of this history that it will be forwarded immediately to other true believers, and to more liberals...just to piss them off.
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  #618 (permalink)  
Old 01-25-2008
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And to think, I had to read both volumes of H.G. Well's Outline of History to reach a similar, but certainly less pithy, conclusion.
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Old 01-25-2008
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And to think, I had to read both volumes of H.G. Well's Outline of History to reach a similar, but certainly less pithy, conclusion.
I'm going to wait for the movie to come out.
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Old 01-25-2008
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Unscientific opinion passed off as fact:
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