Join Date: Feb 2010
Location: Narragansett Bay
Thanked 539 Times in 516 Posts
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Re: Caribbean, What works and doesn't
I sure understand the relative impact of waves and wind (wave period too), but I'm curious to start with the premise that wind has increased and by how much. That's been hard enough to objectively quantify. Again, I'm not trying to disprove, I'm trying to quantify and see if there are new patterns one would need to or could account for.
I've found a number of French weather stations in the windwards, but they're all offline. I'll keep looking, but not right now.
As far as RI sound, the Bays, Islands, etc, I still see dominantly light winds in late summer. I would say that I see more occasional good wind days than in the past. Again, this is based upon the narrow weather windows I'm actually sailing within. I still find myself ghosting on the Bay in late summer, as I don't feel like motoring offshore.
I've developed a sensitivity to not wanting to land my slip in north winds at 20 kts or more. It used to be a challenge, but I'm more risk adverse as I age. I generally won't go now, or will stay out long, if I need to come back in those conditions. I've actually noticed fewer of them each summer. Again, I think this is anecdotal. On the other hand, it seems to be that the weather patterns have not been as routinely repetitive as they were a decade ago. A cold front passing from west to east periodically was the norm, unless blocked offshore. They seem to be mixed, stationary and occluded more often now. I'm interested in the data. I think these patterns are more to the point than actual wind speed, but I really don't know how to quantify them.
I think it was last Spring that I was on a run from Block Island back to the Bay, downwind at 30 kts. Following seas too, est 7ish feet, comfortable enough period. Nothing but a heavily reefed jib. The sail was glorious. The third week of July, I crossed the Gulf of Maine in 25kts, with very tight 7ft seas more up on the beam and it was miserable.
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