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post #21 of 35 Old 07-22-2016
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Re: Weather or not

the Black Sea was really a bit unusual as per our research and what we expected -- we had southerly and sw winds for almost 2 weeks before they turned what we thought would be normal - we are hoping to get a bit of normal in about 2 weeks when we begin to head west around the crimea - gribs seem to be about on track and not bad in giving us good data

Just our thoughts and opinion
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post #22 of 35 Old 07-22-2016 Thread Starter
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Re: Weather or not

Chuck what are you using to source weather? Here it seems the European is consistently more accurate.

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post #23 of 35 Old 07-25-2016
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Re: Weather or not

This does seem to be a strange year so far here on Long Island Sound. After a mild winter, spring was cool with lots of strong northerlies. Now we are in the middle of a long heat wave with temps in the mid-90s. Waiting for it to break so I can leave on the boat for a couple of weeks.

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post #24 of 35 Old 07-25-2016
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Re: Weather or not

Well, the weather forecasters have been telling us for some time that weather would be different this year due to the El Niño and El Niña effects. When we went to Vancouver on our sailing charter in June, the Vancouverites told us that it was unusually cool for the middle of June.

Here in the Midwest we have had some record heat wave, then some unusual rain. Usually by now, we are in the midst of a summer draught with cracked earth pulling away from buildings. This year we have had more consistent rain storms.

On TheWeatherNetwork.com they say:

2016, Weather patterns for the past year have been driven by a remarkably strong El Niño event, but a change is on the way for the summer of 2016. As El Niño dissipates and La Niña conditions take its place, we will be in a period of transition in global weather patterns over the next few months.

Here’s how temperatures will break down, region by region:

Across the northern tier, particularly the Great Lakes and Northeast, we expect that there will still be a few more bumps along the road to summer with a couple periods of cooler weather during the first few weeks of June. However, by late June summer the heat will take hold and warmer than normal temperatures should dominate through July and August.

In the Southeast, temperatures have already been at or above normal for much of the spring. This should continue to be the case as we expect the usual hot and humid summer weather with a tendency towards above seasonal temperatures.

The South Central part of the country will see typical periods of summer heat, but more unsettled weather as well. With more clouds and rain than normal expected this season – particularly in the early part of the summer – the southern Plains should see temperatures average out near normal. In the northern Plains where drier conditions are more likely, above normal temperatures, but not excessive heat, are expected.

Some parts of the far West will be warmer than normal in the summer of 2016, particularly the Intermountain region. Coastal southern California is expected to be warm as well, where the heat will aggravate the ongoing exceptional drought conditions.

The northern California coast as well as the Pacific Northwest should see temperatures near normal for the summer. Warm waters in the northeastern Pacific will provide enough moisture for cloud cover and precipitation in the north to help keep the heat in check.

The Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season begins on June 1, and this year we expect to see a distinct uptick in tropical storm activity compared to the past three seasons. This is due in part to the developing La Niña, as well as temperature patterns in the North Atlantic.

Early predictions issued by researchers at Colorado State University and North Carolina State University are highlighting the threat for above-average tropical activity this season. These forecasts take into account current weather patterns around the globe, numerical modeling, and statistical analysis.
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post #25 of 35 Old 07-26-2016 Thread Starter
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Re: Weather or not

Part I don't like is hurricane "uptick ".
Minnewaska likes this.

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post #26 of 35 Old 07-26-2016
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Re: Weather or not

i am sure the massive numbers of canes and ts in atlantic basin this la nina season has you all concerned.
folks have great difficulty in remembering every 4 ish year what el nino and la nina bring to the planet, so it is understandable that predictions would be this far off.
see the nice yellow squiggly current off south america??? that is colder water. name it la nina.
funny how that lil insignificant ha ha ha ha ha current should make such difference in the planet´s weather patterns.
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post #27 of 35 Old 07-30-2016
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Re: Weather or not

Quote:
Originally Posted by outbound View Post
Chuck what are you using to source weather? Here it seems the European is consistently more accurate.
Outbound - we use windfinder, passageweather, noaa models and guidance, and gribs - we are playing with windyty but not sure about it yet

we run the noaa model about every 3-4 days, but look at windfinder and passage weather daily and we record the gribs in a note book daily -
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Just our thoughts and opinion
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post #28 of 35 Old 07-30-2016
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Re: Weather or not

1990's they came up with the global warming scare. We have to cut CO2 to save the planet. Sea levels will rise 20 to 25 feet within 20 years! (didn't happen...)
1970's, the climate scare was global cooling. w3e have to cut Sulfur Dioxide to stop acid rain and save the planet... Sea levels will drop 20 to 25 ft on the next 20 years! (didn't happen....)
1950's the scare was warming
1920's the4 scare was cooling
1890's the scare was warming

And the pattern goes back INTO THE 1700's!

Somehow we got stalled in the global warming scare this time even though NASA has said MOST ICE EVER at the south pole just 2 years ago... (and nobody hears about after that because its not supporting the Global warming scare...)

They ddid change to calling it "climate change" because the predictions of the 1990's DID NOT COME TRUE. and so they had to come up with something else... but it wasn't politically expedient to say Al Gore's Nobel Prize was for fiction.

Nobel Prizes have been mostly political awards for a long time.
They gave Arafat the Nobel Peace Prize and he used the money to fund suicide bombers. Its been a joke ever since.
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post #29 of 35 Old 07-30-2016 Thread Starter
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Re: Weather or not

TT generally don't respond to such ignorance as moderators are not ennamored. But will note virtually all climatologists the world over who are not supported by energy industry disagree with you. All graphs of weather since records where accurately complied disagree with you. If you took the trouble to review source literature you would see it's always been climate change. Some regions drier,some wetter,some hotter and even a few cooler.
You make the simplistic and incorrect argument that if a line appears to have sawtooth variation trends up it not trending up because at times it trends down.
I hope you stop drinking the cool aid of those with secondary gain. There are still people denying basic evolutionary principles or even believing the moonshot or holocaust didn't occur . So be it.

As regards your political comments. Again moderators view this poorly but even the reality TV watchers know all human activity is political.

Let's return to our regularly scheduled program.

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post #30 of 35 Old 07-31-2016
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Re: Weather or not

Everyone should go to climatedepot.com

Just sayin,

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