Dorian taking aim at us here on East coast of Florida - Page 6 - SailNet Community
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post #51 of 186 Old 09-01-2019
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Re: Dorian taking aim at us here on East coast of Florida

Where it does is up to the high to the north... If it collapses up the coast or out into the atlantic it goes. IF
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post #52 of 186 Old 09-01-2019
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Re: Dorian taking aim at us here on East coast of Florida

12Z model run has just come out and its turning north earlier and will spare the USA east coast.

Hope this holds like this.

Coupla points:

East coast will still cop bad weather.
It drives right up the Gulf Stream... that nasty corrodor of water!
The Gulf Stream will keep it a Cat 2 hurricane, maybe Cat1 when its off Cape Hatteras. Is that a record for a northerly limit of being rated a Hurricane?

It only has to slow down a bees dick to put it right onto the Florida coast... so its not all relax time yet!


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Re: Dorian taking aim at us here on East coast of Florida

Since it’s moving very slowly, it can still very much change direction as weather patterns change. Hope it stays offshore but I will get ready to be slammed.
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post #54 of 186 Old 09-01-2019
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Re: Dorian taking aim at us here on East coast of Florida

It's already started in Marsh Habour.
We are turning around and going back to Ontario as we don't think there will be much left in the upper Bahamas.

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post #55 of 186 Old 09-01-2019
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Re: Dorian taking aim at us here on East coast of Florida

Quote:
Originally Posted by MarkofSeaLife View Post
12Z model run has just come out and its turning north earlier and will spare the USA east coast.

Hope this holds like this.

Coupla points:

East coast will still cop bad weather.
It drives right up the Gulf Stream... that nasty corrodor of water!
The Gulf Stream will keep it a Cat 2 hurricane, maybe Cat1 when its off Cape Hatteras. Is that a record for a northerly limit of being rated a Hurricane?

It only has to slow down a bees dick to put it right onto the Florida coast... so its not all relax time yet!


Mark
We’ve had plenty of Hurricanes north of North Carolina


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post #56 of 186 Old 09-01-2019
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Re: Dorian taking aim at us here on East coast of Florida

Quote:
Originally Posted by chef2sail View Post
We’ve had plenty of Hurricanes north of North Carolina
Hurricane Hazel made it to Toronto in 1954, devasted the city and killed 81 people there.
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post #57 of 186 Old 09-01-2019
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Re: Dorian taking aim at us here on East coast of Florida

Quote:
Originally Posted by boatpoker View Post
Hurricane Hazel made it to Toronto in 1954, devasted the city and killed 81 people there.
Still as a hurricane? Or as a post tropical low/depression etc?

Amazing.
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post #58 of 186 Old 09-01-2019
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Re: Dorian taking aim at us here on East coast of Florida

Rhode Island has had multiple landfall hurricanes over time. Last in the 80s. There was the infamous New England Hurricane of ‘38. Lots of buildings with plaques showing the flood height.

Hoping this isn’t the next.


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post #59 of 186 Old 09-02-2019
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Re: Dorian taking aim at us here on East coast of Florida

As a matter of pure nomenclature, several years ago NOAA started calling any Atlantic storm north of a certain latitude a "post-tropical cyclone" instead of a "hurricane". By the time it made landfall, Sandy's official name was "Post Tropical Cyclone Sandy" even though it had hurricane force winds. I recall that this caused a great deal of confusion as the storm approached, with concerns that people would let their guards down whenever storms came north and suddenly weren't called hurricanes anymore. Many TV meteorologists instead called it "Superstorm" or "Frankenstorm". If NOAA stuck to this nomenclature change, there would be no more "hurricanes" coming ashore north of Virginia or somewhere around there.

I am not sure whether NOAA changed their naming procedure back since then. I can't find much of anything on this through Google, though the controversy was heavily covered back in 2012.
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Last edited by TakeFive; 09-02-2019 at 01:26 PM.
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post #60 of 186 Old 09-02-2019
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Re: Dorian taking aim at us here on East coast of Florida

Cyclone=typhoon =hurricane in common usage.

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