Join Date: Jun 2011
Location: somewhere south of civilization
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Re: More active hurricane season predicted
I've been living with almost the same hurricane forecast "predicting more named storms and hurricanes in the Caribbean and western Atlantic." since my arrival here in 1978. They always seem to meet their predictions or revise their predictions to suit, as the season progresses, but rarely does any of it impact the areas outside of the normal historical tracks. When the storms do, they are labeled "the storm of the century" or "super storm" or any other name to draw public awareness away from the fact that that one got away from them.
The short term forecasting has improved immensely, after all, there was a time when we knew the storm was going to hit us for sure was when it hit the other side of the island.
but the long term forecasting seems little more than hocus-pocus to me, even with all the technology available today.
"Any idiot can make a boat go; it takes a sailor to stop one." Spike Africa aboard the schooner Wanderer in Sausalito, Ca. 1964.
“Believe me, my young friend, there is nothing - absolutely nothing - half so much worth doing as simply messing about in boats.” ― Kenneth Grahame, The Wind in the Willows
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