Needs revision:I’m leaving with the SDR on or around November 1. In the past once you got through September you were generally home free. Now cyclonic storms occur both before and after the classic season with increasing frequency.
You watch the west coast of Africa but how much does this help? Leave too late and face the cold and North Atlantic gales. Leave too early hurricanes. Can’t win.
I believe 2/3rds of all hurricanes occur in September. Even if one wasn't barreling down, how do you plan around them? Are you planning a direct run, or an ICW crawl?Most of the current focus is on Gordon, but Florence poses more of a threat to the fall ICW migration. My trip from RI to FL is slated to begin on 9-17, and she's a concern. Also, after watching the satellite videos of the Atlantic, there seems to be another disturbance (Invest 92L) right behind her.
Little bitta both.I believe 2/3rds of all hurricanes occur in September. Even if one wasn't barreling down, how do you plan around them? Are you planning a direct run, or an ICW crawl?
Best of luck. Don’t know what punt actually means. I’m sure you could figure out how to get outta dodge. The boat could be exposed. Sea state outside the ICW is almost certain to be churned up, even if you don’t take a hit. Have you done this run in Sept before?Hope that this doesn't happen. Punt if it does.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/92L_gefs_latest.pngInvest 92L has me worried because if it does ramp up, it will be right about when I am scheduled to depart.