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Discussion Starter #1
I don't want to jinx us, but has anyone noticed the slow start to the North Atlantic hurricane season?

We are now better than seven weeks into the season and, as far as I've been able to determine, we've only had one relatively short lived Tropical Depression (TD 1):

2009 Atlantic Hurricane Season

Using the 1944-2005 average (which doesn't include some recent highly active seasons), we could normally expect one named storm by now:

Tropical Cyclone Climatology

Hopefully this trend will continue!!
 

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Great, now I have to break out the storm anchor and the big rode!
 

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It's building; break out the fishing poles

 

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Telstar 28
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That's cause it isn't an election year, and sway isn't talking as much... :)
 

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Yeah. Mother ocean still controls us. She continues to move in ways that we can not predict, just to prove that she has always been in control and can defy our recently recorded data base and our technological predictions whenever she feels the need. It is good to know that nothing has changed. The sky is not falling. Keep up with the maintenance on the boat and worry about the things we can control.
 

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moderate?
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Nah...doesn't sound like anything is gonna develope.


NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SAT JUL 18 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NEAR AND EXTENDING A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES
EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE.
WHILE RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE MAY BE LOCALLY HEAVY AT
TIMES...UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CURRENTLY CONDUCIVE FOR
SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS
THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

2. DISORGANIZED SHOWER ACTIVITY CONTINUES IN ASSOCIATION WITH A
TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BE SLOW TO
OCCUR AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
</pre>
 

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Discussion Starter #12
mea culpa

Okay, I go away on vacation for a week or so and they run through the first three letters of the alphabet !!

Sorry about the jinx.:eek: As penance, I will state publicly that I have not yet dropped anything of value overboard this season.;)
 
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