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I've lived in Florida and on the Alabama and Mississippi gulf coast the greatest part of my life. I went through Katrina and so many other hurricanes I can't remember all of their names. If there is one thing we have learned, it is that there is no hurricane prediction model that is reliable enough to make life altering decisions on.

Our personal program is that once a hurricane enters the Gulf of Mexico, we start preparing, no matter where the models say it will go. We have learned to do this from experience. We have seen all of the models and predictions be wrong too many times.
 
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